Vistra Corp. 🇺🇸
VST • Technology • USA
📊 Proprietary 12-Point Fundamental Audit
| Audit Dimension | Benchmark Criterion | VST Actual | Evaluation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Economic Moat Strength | Software lock-in / high switching barrier / patent moat | Moat Score 91.9/100 | ✅ WIDE MOAT |
| 2. Pricing Power & Margins | Gross Margin > 40% sustainable | 38.3% Gross Margin | ⚠️ MODERATE |
| 3. Revenue Acceleration | YoY Top-Line Growth > 15% | -5.5% YoY | ⚠️ IN-LINE |
| 4. Peter Lynch PEG Ratio | PEG < 1.2x (Growth at a Reasonable Price) | 1.15x PEG Ratio | ✅ PASSED |
| 5. Fortress Balance Sheet | Debt / EBITDA < 2.5x | 3.1x Net Leverage | ⚠️ WATCH |
| 6. Free Cash Flow Generation | Positive and compounding FCF | $37.1M Free Cash Flow | ✅ PASSED |
| 7. Multiple vs Sector Median | Forward P/E reasonable vs earnings growth | Forward P/E: 15.9x | ✅ ATTRACTIVE MULTIPLE |
| 8. Management & Insider Ownership | Insider Ownership > 3% | 0.8% Insider Equity | ℹ️ INSTITUTIONAL |
| 9. Superinvestor Whale Backing | Held by Top 25 13F Wall St Whales | Stanley Druckenmiller | ✅ 13F WHALE BACKED |
| 10. Secular Industry Tailwinds | Exposure to multi-year compound themes | Technology sector expansion | ✅ PASSED |
| 11. Trailing P/E Multiple | Historical earnings multiple sanity | Trailing P/E: 23.1x | ✅ PASSED |
| 12. Overall Moat Conviction | Composite algorithmic evaluation | Overall Score: 91.9/100 | ✅ HIGH CONVICTION |
📝 MoatPicks Investment Thesis
Competitive Moat Breakdown: Key power generator benefiting from soaring data center electricity demand.
Valuation Verdict: Trading at a Forward P/E of 15.9x and PEG ratio of 1.15x, Vistra Corp. satisfies core fundamental screens for quality and durability.
🐋 Tracked Superinvestor Backing
📊 Frequently Asked Questions & Related Moat Stocks
1. What is Vistra Corp. (VST)'s Economic Moat Score in 2026?
In 2026, Vistra Corp. (VST) holds a proprietary MoatPicks Economic Moat Score™ of 91.9/100 (Wide Economic Moat). This 12-point fundamental audit evaluates VST's 38.3% gross margin, $37.1M free cash flow generation, -5.5% YoY revenue growth, and 3.1x Debt/EBITDA ratio. You can benchmark any stock's competitive durability interactively with our Economic Moat Score™ Checker.
2. Is VST stock undervalued right now based on P/E and PEG ratio?
Yes — VST currently screens as undervalued on a growth-adjusted basis with a Peter Lynch PEG ratio of 1.15x (below the 1.2x GARP threshold) and a Forward P/E of 15.9x. At a share price of $137.09, investors can stress-test VST's fair value using the MoatPicks Economic Moat Score™ Checker and FIRE compounding calculators. Model how compounding VST fits your long-term retirement target in our FIRE Financial Independence Calculator.
3. Which superinvestors and 13F hedge funds own VST stock?
According to latest SEC 13F institutional filings tracked by MoatPicks, superinvestors holding or trading Vistra Corp. (VST) include Stanley Druckenmiller. Institutional conviction is reinforced by VST's $37.1M in free cash flow and 3.1x net leverage.